Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011435 0.013896 0.017005 0.021321 0.027330 0.035683 0.048739
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008327 0.010989 0.014797 0.020953 0.031353 0.049853 0.090434
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006484 0.008947 0.012723 0.019406 0.032198 0.059372 0.138792
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005406 0.007704 0.011415 0.018455 0.033385 0.070530 0.216648
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004769 0.006994 0.010757 0.018379 0.036251 0.088887 0.390529
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004366 0.006580 0.010491 0.018945 0.040964 0.119599 0.894296
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003986 0.006135 0.010066 0.019022 0.044531 0.153643 2.292568
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003584 0.005591 0.009348 0.018213 0.045082 0.176684 5.523064
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003292 0.005208 0.008880 0.017869 0.047020 0.214356 27.101460
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003153 0.005086 0.008916 0.018807 0.054323 0.320298 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003074 0.005065 0.009158 0.020391 0.065991 0.563030 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002995 0.005032 0.009366 0.021980 0.080037 1.095980 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002791 0.004751 0.009021 0.021963 0.087303 1.852286 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002588 0.004453 0.008593 0.021582 0.092687 3.170479 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002350 0.004057 0.007872 0.019971 0.088025 3.629525 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002169 0.003765 0.007365 0.018982 0.087187 5.012363 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002051 0.003592 0.007129 0.018902 0.093720 11.788400 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001972 0.003497 0.007074 0.019492 0.107727 92.849842 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001881 0.003365 0.006903 0.019571 0.117816 71194.827287 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001764 0.003167 0.006532 0.018730 0.116713 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001675 0.003024 0.006292 0.018373 0.121252 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001638 0.002993 0.006353 0.019348 0.146782 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001621 0.003006 0.006538 0.020997 0.192849 NaN NaN